uring the last dekad of May 2026, rainfall is expected to decline gradually to very low levels, with only occasional residual showers over the central highlands, particularly in Dhamar and Ibb governorates.
Yemen’s food security outlook remains extremely dire across all governorates, with severe challenges expected to persist through February 2026. In Government-controlled areas (GoY), recent central bank measures have briefly strengthened the Yemeni riyal and reduced food prices, but these gains appear fragile.
The situation in Hadramawt Al Wadi has continued to stabilize following the recent shifts in territorial control earlier this month. Reports indicate a decline in hostilities, supported by reported prohibitions on carrying weapons within city centers.
Yemen faced poor sorghum harvests due to early-season drought followed by floods, water-stressed perennial crops likely to reduce future yields, severely degraded rangelands lowering livestock productivity and milk output, and heightened pest and disease pressures threatening vegetable production.
Yemen’s weather from the third dekad of November through the first dekad of December 2025 is expected to remain cool and dry, marking the seasonal shift into winter.
Conflict, economic decline and climatic shocks continue to erode the resilience of rural communities in Yemen. Many rural households have lost their productive capacities due to displacement, the collapse of agricultural infrastructure, limited access to inputs and services and the fragmentation of agrifood systems.
Yemen’s third dekad of November 2025 is expected to be cooler and drier as the country transitions into the winter season. Temperatures will be near or slightly above average, with very cold nights in the highlands that may persist over the coming weeks.
2025 has brought unprecedented challenges to Yemen. Drastic funding cuts have forced aid agencies to scale back many life-saving programmes. Seasonal floods have once again devastated communities, sweeping away people’s homes and belongings.
In October 2025, Yemen saw a significant drop in rainfall, with only isolated showers in the western highlands, where the highest recorded total was about 84 mm in Al Hudaydah.
Hurricane Melissa, one of the most powerful storms ever recorded in the Atlantic, hit southwestern Jamaica on 28 October as a Category 5 system—the worst hurricane to hit the area since 1988—before crossing into eastern Cuba as a Category 3 the following day.
The second dekad of October usually signals the shift from the summer monsoon to a cooler, drier winter—a critical transition as one season ends and the next begins. However, current forecasts raise an agrometeorological concern that continued precipitation in some areas could disrupt crop harvests.
In Government of Yemen (GoY) -controlled areas, recent central bank policies temporarily boosted the Yemeni riyal’s value and slightly lowered food prices; however, these gains are unlikely to be sustained without comprehensive economic reforms to address trade deficits, foreign exchange reserve gaps, and foreign currency shortages.
During the night of 16–17 September 2025, heavy rains fell across most communes of the Nord-Ouest department, causing the Trois-Rivières River in Port-de-Paix to overflow suddenly. The floods resulted in extensive inundations across several neighborhoods in Port-de-Paix and Bassin-Bleu.
The objective is to improve livelihoods and increase resilience to climate change and agricultural productivity for vulnerable farming households in Wadi al Ayn.
Since early August, torrential rains and violent windstorms have devastated communities across Yemen, destroying homes, sweeping away livelihoods, and displacing thousands of families already living in precarious conditions.
In August, Yemen reaches the peak of the Kharif rainy season, with heavy rains mainly over the western and central highlands and occasional spillover to the coastal lowlands.
