uring the last dekad of May 2026, rainfall is expected to decline gradually to very low levels, with only occasional residual showers over the central highlands, particularly in Dhamar and Ibb governorates.
Yemen’s food security outlook remains extremely dire across all governorates, with severe challenges expected to persist through February 2026. In Government-controlled areas (GoY), recent central bank measures have briefly strengthened the Yemeni riyal and reduced food prices, but these gains appear fragile.
Yemen continues to face a protracted humanitarian crisis marked by conflict, political fragmentation, economic collapse, and severe access constraints, with women and girls bearing a disproportionate share of the impact.
The situation in Hadramawt Al Wadi has continued to stabilize following the recent shifts in territorial control earlier this month. Reports indicate a decline in hostilities, supported by reported prohibitions on carrying weapons within city centers.
Yemen faced poor sorghum harvests due to early-season drought followed by floods, water-stressed perennial crops likely to reduce future yields, severely degraded rangelands lowering livestock productivity and milk output, and heightened pest and disease pressures threatening vegetable production.
The overall humanitarian situation in Hadramawt remains relatively stable, supported by the recent halt in military operations. However, the rapid shift in territorial control and the presence of multiple armed actors have created uncertainty that continues to affect civilian movement and needs.
Yemen’s weather from the third dekad of November through the first dekad of December 2025 is expected to remain cool and dry, marking the seasonal shift into winter.
Conflict, economic decline and climatic shocks continue to erode the resilience of rural communities in Yemen. Many rural households have lost their productive capacities due to displacement, the collapse of agricultural infrastructure, limited access to inputs and services and the fragmentation of agrifood systems.
Yemen’s third dekad of November 2025 is expected to be cooler and drier as the country transitions into the winter season. Temperatures will be near or slightly above average, with very cold nights in the highlands that may persist over the coming weeks.
2025 has brought unprecedented challenges to Yemen. Drastic funding cuts have forced aid agencies to scale back many life-saving programmes. Seasonal floods have once again devastated communities, sweeping away people’s homes and belongings.
In October 2025, Yemen saw a significant drop in rainfall, with only isolated showers in the western highlands, where the highest recorded total was about 84 mm in Al Hudaydah.
The second dekad of October usually signals the shift from the summer monsoon to a cooler, drier winter—a critical transition as one season ends and the next begins. However, current forecasts raise an agrometeorological concern that continued precipitation in some areas could disrupt crop harvests.
In Government of Yemen (GoY) -controlled areas, recent central bank policies temporarily boosted the Yemeni riyal’s value and slightly lowered food prices; however, these gains are unlikely to be sustained without comprehensive economic reforms to address trade deficits, foreign exchange reserve gaps, and foreign currency shortages.
The objective is to improve livelihoods and increase resilience to climate change and agricultural productivity for vulnerable farming households in Wadi al Ayn.
After more than ten years of conflict, Yemen is again on the brink of humanitarian disaster, standing as the world’s third most food insecure context. As of September this year, 18.1 million people are estimated to face acute hunger (IPC Phase 3 and above).
More than 50,600 households (approximately 354,400 people) in 19 governorates have been affected by heavy rains and flooding since 1 August. This includes 157 reported casualties, including 62 fatalities and 95 injuries.
Since early August, torrential rains and violent windstorms have devastated communities across Yemen, destroying homes, sweeping away livelihoods, and displacing thousands of families already living in precarious conditions.
